Politics
Polls begin closing in Michigan with eyes on high-stakes Democratic primary for US Senate seat – live updates
Then, 32m ago
Michigan’s polls are closing as attention turns to the Democratic Senate race
Michigan has closed almost all polling places. As soon as the results are in, we’ll let you know. Especially in the race that was the focus of attention – the Democratic Primary for US Senate.
Four counties in Michigan keep central time. This means they close the polls one hour later than other parts of Michigan.
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The Key Events
Missouri polls close on Election Day
We will bring you results from Missouri as soon as we get them. We will be watching the Democratic Primary in Missouri’s first deep blue congressional district, where incumbent pro-Israel Wesley Bell is up against Cori Bush – a progressive former congresswoman accusing Israel of committing genocide on Gaza.
The Missouri primary has been a proxy war for the Michigan Senate Primary over the role of the Democratic Party in supporting Israel’s military ahead of the midterm elections in November.
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Michigan’s polling stations close as attention remains on the Democratic Senate race
Michigan has closed almost all polling places. As soon as the results are in, we’ll let you know. Especially in the race that was the focus of attention – the Democratic Primary for US Senate.
Four counties in Michigan keep central time. This means they close the polls one hour later than other parts of Michigan.
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Michigan’s down-ballot primary also shows a struggle over changing Democratic Party identity
Two House primaries are also important in the battle for the future of the Democratic Party.
Former US Navy Seal Matt Maasdam, former US Ambassador to Ukraine Bridget Brink and progressive William Lawrence are in a race for the seventh district of the Great Lakes state. Former Senator Elissa slotkin has supported Matt Maasdam while independent Senator Bernie Sanders backed Lawrence.
Sanders also supported Donavan McKinney in the Detroit district’s 13th District, a progressive candidate who is running to unseat the incumbent Democratic representative Shri Thanedar, backed by the establishment.
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Joseph Gedeon reports from Michigan.
Abdul El-Sayed, standing outside of a Dearborn voting station, is confident that he’ll win the Republican primary. He also has his eyes on Republican Mike Rogers and predicts he’ll “beat [Rogers] in November by seven”.
Rogers was called “generationally dull and corrupt”, adding that Rogers couldn’t choose which era of Republicanism to represent.
He told reporters that he hoped that the Senators that wanted to see a [Democratic] Majority would team up so that we could all collectively “dunk” on Mike Rogers.
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Virginia polls close on Election Day
The polls in Virginia have now closed. Voters weighed-in on the primaries of all 11 US House Seats and also the Republican Primary to choose a candidate to challenge Democratic Senator Mark Warner.
Democrats hope to flip at least five of the GOP-held House Districts this year, even though the Supreme Court of California ruled against their original redistricting plans that would have given them 10 out of 11 seats.
Republicans will also vote on a candidate in a last-ditch effort to take on Warner – a powerful Democrat, who served in the Senate for nearly 18 years and runs unopposed. It is the incumbent’s last reelection campaign, and Democrats hope that this will boost many races on the ballot in November.
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This page was last updated at 01:26 CEST
Joseph Gedeon
Josh Young is tired of waiting. He’s watched for years as the Democratic Party has chased the middle. Abdul El-Sayed was the primary candidate of 48-year-old Josh Young, a small-business owner who bet that progressive politics could finally make a breakthrough.
He said, “We have put out centrist candidates as Democrats for many years with little success.” “I am very optimistic that the tide has turned.”
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By Rachel Leingang and Joseph Gedeon
Israel’s war with Gaza caused deep divisions within the Democratic Party and led to an embarrassing loss during a crucial presidential election in 2024. The issue is still a major concern in races all over the United States, two years after the war began. Progressives are trying to capitalize on Israel’s declining popularity, and the anti-war sentiment that has been sweeping the nation ahead of the midterm elections.
Recent debate between two Democrats running for the US Senate seat that is the most competitive in the nation exposed the tensions within the progressive and the moderate wings of their party.
Abdul El-Sayed, Michigan Democratic candidate Abdul El-Sayed stated that they are targeting him because of the money spent by pro-Israel organizations such as American Israel Public Affairs Committee. As long as Aipac continues to buy off our politicians, don’t be surprised if we wage wars in order to annexe Lebanon or commit genocide against Gaza.
Haley Stevens – the US moderate representative who benefits from pro Israel spending during the Senate campaign – retorted on CNN the day that Benjamin Netanyahu “trash” her, saying that she was not afraid of standing up to Israel.
During the debate, she stated that “no one owned my vote or my policy.” Anyone who contributes to my Senate Campaign is doing so due to my track record in fighting for Michigan.
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Abdul El-Sayed, will he be able to win the Michigan Senate election?
Joseph Gedeon
Abdul El-Sayed is known to spend a good deal of time not taking himself too seriously. He makes jokes about the haircut he has, films videos of himself with his supporters and has done cringey lip-syncing and dancing on camera.
Ask him to describe the difference between the two after a day of campaigning, and the epidemiologist will take over the role from the comedian.
El-Sayed is a candidate for the Democratic nomination for the US Senate in Michigan this November. He is a policy expert who can deliver a joke and then detail the details of the Medicare for All universal healthcare system.
In a time when American politics is characterized by a lack of humor, his political persona is unusual. In a few days, the Michigan Democrats, who will vote on August 4, 2014, will determine whether they want to elect him to serve in the United States Senate.
El-Sayed is up against the moderate Haley Stevens who enjoys the support of the Democratic Party establishment. Both candidates are almost neck and neck at the polls, raising the possibility that the Democratic party establishment will once again override the grassroots.
El-Sayed is not a socialist. While the recent string of victories in Democratic primary elections has given the Left a boost, El-Sayed does not accept the label. El-Sayed wants capitalism to work.
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Will Missouri be the primary victory for a democratic-socialist challenger in 2016?
Chris Stein
The Democratic primary in Missouri’s first district, which is a deep blue, will determine whether or not to grant pro-Israel incumbent Wesley Bell another term. Or, they can replace him with Cori bush, a progressive former congresswoman, who has accused Israel of committing genocide against Gaza.
The contest, along with the heated Michigan primary, has now become a proxy war over the Democratic Party’s support for Israel’s Military before the midterm elections in November, when the party that holds the majority of both chambers in Congress will be determined.
Bush, who is part of the Democratic Socialists in America (DSA), lost to Bell’s seat two years ago. A Super Pac, linked to AIPAC, has spent over $3 million to prevent her from winning the election again.
Recent weeks have seen Democratic voters in New York City, Denver and other cities vote out incumbent candidates in favor of those who had promised to take a tough stance against Israel. Democrats in Congress have been a large part of the vote for failed attempts to stop arms sales to Israel’s security force. Progressives are hoping that Bush’s victory will highlight their momentum.
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Michigan Primary: Democrats’ most important and contentious test to date
Rachel Leingang
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary is perhaps the most controversial Democratic primary of the year. It will also be a major test for the future of the party.
The voters are once again assessing the electability of candidates, weighing their policies and personalities. Who can possibly win the purple state of November and push a party to a Senate majority?
According to recent surveys, Abdul El-Sayed is leading. In a nonpartisan Emerson survey of Democratic likely voters, 54% said they would vote for El Sayed. Haley Stevens was ranked third with 39%. The age gap between the two groups is stark. El-Sayed was favored by voters under 50 by 42 points while those over 60 voted for Stevens with a 14 point margin. El-Sayed was favored by Independents with a margin of 27 points.
Stevens has been representing Michigan’s 11th House District since 2019 after flipping her seat. The Michigan Governor, Gretchen Whitmer and Gary Peters – the retiring Senator who currently holds the position she and El-Sayed are running for – have all endorsed her.
El-Sayed is an epidemiologist and has served as health director in Detroit, Michigan and the surrounding county. He counts among his supporters US Senators Elizabeth Warren, Chris Van Hollen and a number of former and current elected officials.
The Democratic nominee will be Mike Rogers. He was a Republican candidate for the US Senate 2024 but lost out to Elissa slotkin.
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All eyes are on Michigan Senate race as five states conduct primary elections
Good evening. Voters in Michigan are voting for a Democratic Primary that is a test of their party’s potential. The polls close locally at 8 pm.
Michigan, Kansas, Virginia and Washington are the other four states that will be holding their primary elections on this day.
Michigan voters are choosing between Abdul El-Sayed a former progressive public health official and Haley Stevens a moderate backed by Democratic leadership.
Stevens’ campaign has received more than 60m dollars in spending outside from super-PACs. El-Sayed was still slightly ahead in the polls as today’s voting began.
The outcome of the election is a major focus for lawmakers, as the results will show whether Democratic voters prefer a progressive anti-establishment path or a moderate one heading into November’s midterm elections.
The race to replace Kansas Governor Laura Kelly is underway as her term ends. Kansas Governor is a race between three Democrats. The Republican contenders are current Secretary of State Scott Schwab and Trump-endorsed Ty Masterson, as well as Insurance Commissioner Vicki Schmidt.
Missouri voters will decide on a number of important primary elections and ballot measures. In Missouri, voters will decide on a number of high-profile primary races and constitutional ballot measures. The contest that is most closely followed involves a rematch in the Democratic House Primary between incumbent Wesley Bell, and former progressive representative Cori Busch. Voters are also considering statewide changes, such as one which would eliminate income taxes.
Virginians have chosen nominees for several congressional districts and a US Senate election in a more delayed fashion after the redistricting schedule pushed it back. Democrats believe that two House seats are their best chance to flip the US House in November, as they attempt to take back control. Republicans are selecting their candidate to take on Democratic Senator Mark Warner.
In Washington, Democratic Representative Marie Gluesenkamp Perez seeks a third term as the representative of the 3rd congressional district. She faces several opponents in the primaries, including Republican State Senate Minority Leader John Braun who received the endorsement from President Trump. Washington State has a system of top-two primaries, where all candidates are on one ballot, and the highest two vote getters regardless of their party advance to the election.
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Politics
Todd Blanche makes plea for unity at Justice Department
Todd Blanche, the Attorney General of the Justice Department on Thursday addressed the workforce and pledged that he would make it “more loyal to its highest values than when I first found it”.
Blanche delivered her speech in the Robert F. Kennedy Department of Justice Building’s great hall to calm down a staff that had been stung by dismissals, retaliation in court, and allegations of political deals on behalf of the President.
Blanche promised, “I will be the leader of this department in a way that is honest.” Blanche said, “I will stay focused on the core mission of our department, upholding the rule of the law in a fair and impartial manner, keeping this great nation safe and protecting the rights of all citizens.”
Blanche, who has been acting attorney general since April, was confirmed to be the new attorney general last Saturday. The speech was Blanche’s first official address to Justice Department employees since Donald Trump addressed the staff in March 2025. He described himself as “chief law-enforcement officer of our country,” and vowed to remove what he termed “rogue agents and corrupt forces” within the government.
Blanche, in his speech, echoed the attorneys general that came before him. The Attorney General thanked law enforcement agents and prosecutors for their work every day, and reiterated the Justice Department’s core principle “to enforce the law without favor or fear.” Trump was only mentioned once.
To some, Blanche’s speech seemed to wipe away more than an entire year of turmoil. Blanche pledged that he would “always respect” the role of judiciary and that a “performative attack that undermines the institutions we have sworn uphold” was not acceptable.
Attorney General’s message seemed to focus on unity and fostering healthy discussion between “people of different backgrounds, political views, life experiences, etc.”
Blanche stated, “I believe that disagreement is the only thing we can do as a Department to make better decisions.” I think that the administration of justice is fair and we can do our job if there’s disagreement.
I will make mistakes in my decisions. “I will make mistakes in everything I do. “No one would do that,” said he. “But, I can promise that I’ll work just as hard as you. “I promise that I’ll listen to your ideas or any adjustments we may need.”
Stacey Young is the Executive Director of Justice Connection. This group provides support to current and former Justice Department staff. She released a statement agreeing with Blanche’s remarks, but questioning whether Blanche would follow them through.
She said that DOJ is successful when diverse people from different backgrounds, political views, and experiences, put DOJ’s mission before their own.
Young said that “under his leadership, DOJ career employees have been terminated because of their background, perceived politics and their fierce resistance in conference rooms across the nation.” Young said that “thousands more” have quit because the leadership consistently has violated Blanche’s principles: prosecuting criminal defendants only based on facts and law, holding accountable those who attack the police and respecting courts.
The story has been updated to include additional information.
Politics
Massive polling misses in Wisconsin, Michigan primaries
According to the most recent public polls, Francesca Hong should have won Tuesday’s Wisconsin Democratic primary for governor by about 20 points. The Democratic socialist, however, lost the primary by less than one percentage point.
Hong’s shocking loss to more moderate Milwaukee County executive David Crowley was the latest of a series of huge polling misses during primary contests leading up to the midterm elections in 2026. These misses are occurring at a time when more money is being poured into the election process. This has been emphasized by the rise of prediction markets, which allow widespread bets on elections.
On Tuesday evening, in Minnesota, the Lt. Peggy Flanagan beat Rep. Angie Craig (D-Minn.) by almost 20 percentage points, despite recent polls showing the Democratic Senate contest as tight. Abdul El-Sayed, a Democratic Senate candidate in Michigan, won by just 1 point last week, despite polls showing him ahead of Rep. Haley Stevens (D-Mich).
These polling mistakes are occurring as the progressives of the Democratic Party gain ground in primaries across the nation, which could change the way one of the most important political parties in America approaches economics. Hong, who was a democratic socialist, pushed a radical left agenda, including government-run supermarkets, higher taxes for the wealthy, and taxpayer-subsidized child care.
Kyle Kondik is the managing editor of Sabato’s Crystal Ball, at University of Virginia’s Center for Politics. He said that there are a number of factors which could have affected the Wisconsin polls. This includes the possibility that progressive whites who represent the core of the leftist candidates are more likely to respond positively to polls than other Democrats. Wisconsin does not allow registration based on party affiliation, so its primary elections are also open. This can make it difficult to determine who actually votes.
This was also a crazy campaign, with many changes likely in the final days. Kondik suggested that the progressive Abdul El-Sayed (D)’s victory in Michigan Senate primaries, as well as the subsequent Democratic woes about his electability may have contributed to Crowley’s win in Wisconsin.
He said that “Hong expanded her national visibility down the stretch in the campaign and her media appeared did not do much to dispel notions of her being a risky candidate for Democrats.”
A big miss for prediction markets
Wisconsin’s prediction markets also had a terrible night. Like polls, the markets portrayed Hong as having a much stronger race than it actually was once votes began to roll in.
Hong was 95% certain to win on Kalshi as of Monday evening, while Crowley had less than 5%. Polymarket, in a post that has since been deleted on X, said on Tuesday, just before the polls closed, that Hong had a 96% chance of winning.
Polymarket’s spokesperson confirmed to CNBC the posting was removed because of the language used in the description.
In Michigan, El-Sayed had a greater than 90% chance of winning the Democratic Senate nomination before the polls closed last week. This was despite his narrow win.
Lakshya JAIN, the co-founder and director of The Argument’s political data division, as well as the founder of SplitTicket, a website that provides electoral data, expressed frustration at what happened on prediction markets after the polls in Wisconsin closed on Tuesday evening.
Jain stated that “the movement I saw was the biggest concern.” The odds of Hong winning were either increasing or decreasing as the results came in from all over the state. He didn’t believe that individual votes would have a significant impact on her chances. There was no good reason why the markets would move in her favor if she were to win.
Jain, however, said that prediction markets can be useful when it comes time to vote, especially because they are able to include factors not often included in polls.
Tarek Mnsour, Kalshi’s co-founder and chief executive officer, spoke to X about the platform’s results.
He wrote: “Don’t let the headlines about ‘prediction market’ predictions go by. A 5% chance doesn’t necessarily mean that it will not happen.” It means that it will happen one in twenty times. The markets would collapse if 5% of candidates did not win.
Minnesota voters also delivered a surprising result. The prediction markets had Flanagan with a roughly 70% chance of winning the nomination for the U.S. Senate race in Minnesota Tuesday night. This was a good result for the traders.
Flip Pidot is the chief strategy officer of PredictIt. He also serves on the Coalition for Political Forecasting’s board.
He said that people still see the poll barometers as their North Star. Everyone was shocked that both polls had been so off, but the markets were what they are. “They’re a mirror of the public opinion.” The good thing about the markets is that they provide an incentive to more traders, who are more likely to be accurate due to potential financial rewards.
Democrats’ mixed bag
The results of the election were a mixed bag, with Democrats facing a surge in progressives across the nation.
Hong’s lack of support compared to public opinion polls could dampen the belief that the progressives are in control of the Democratic Party.
Kondik stated that “the Democratic establishment” is not as powerful as it used to be, but the party leaders still have power.”
Politics
What the polls missed in Wisconsin’s primary and David Ellison threatens to uproot Paramount: Morning Rundown
Pre-election polls failed to accurately predict David Crowley’s victory in Wisconsin’s Democratic Governor Primary. Karoline leavitt will step down from her position as White House Press Secretary. Paramount’s owner, a billionaire, has threatened to relocate the company from California.
What you need to know about today
The Wisconsin Primary Results Didn’t Match the Polls
David Crowley’s victory in Wisconsin’s Democratic primary for governor was among the state’s most unlikely comebacks.
On July 8, the Milwaukee County Executive dropped out of this race. After a panic-filled moment, he became his party’s candidate five weeks later.
Here is the Morning Rundown, your weekday morning newsletter. Subscribe here and receive it directly in your mailbox.
Francesca Hong, a democratic socialist candidate, was defeated by the moderate Francesca Hong with fewer than one percentage point. Hong led the pre-election polls by almost 20 points. Although she may have exceeded the expectations of a leftist candidate running in a swing state with a strong purple hue, her polling numbers were far below those expected.
You might think that polls simply underestimate the popularity of democratic socialist and progressive candidates. What’s going on in reality is much more complex.
Primary elections are often more undecided than general elections, as people tend to pay less attention. This means that those voters who still haven’t made their mind up on election day may be persuaded. The variables of race, education and who shows up on Election Day can make it difficult to guess who someone will vote for.
The combination of several factors can cause a miss.
You can read the complete analysis by clicking here.
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Politics
NPR’s Newsmakers
Rep. Ro. Khanna (D-Calif.), fresh off his tour of Pennsylvania where he was born, has said that he “thinks seriously” about running as president for the United States in 2028. He called this race “a breaking point in America,” which could result in a destructive revolt or new economic order.
Khanna, 49 years old, told Steve Inskeep that if we didn’t change dramatically we might break in an interview with NPR Newsmakers’ video podcast. I’m the nice one. Just a social contract change is all I want. You’ve met them in their 30s, right? They are after pitchforks, torches and other weapons. “They want to take your heads… political.”
California’s lawmaker, who admitted that he is only 2% on the Democratic presidential ballots, does not enjoy the same name recognition as some of his other competitors. This includes former vice president Kamala Harris or Gov. Gavin Newsom. His profile has been steadily elevated through his years of activism on a variety of issues, from Epstein to wealth taxes. His possible presidential bid comes at a time when the Democratic Party’s left and center-wing candidates are fighting over differences in ideology.
Khanna stated that Democrats should nominate someone progressive to bring about “America’s Next New Deal”, as technology is a revolution which has enriched a few people and could destabilize the labor market.
These people would have been conquerors in another era. Khanna said that tech billionaires Elon Thiel, Mark Zuckerberg, and Elon Musk think they are above us. When I am most inclined to leave, I remember that I know them. “I understand economics and will be able to face them with courage.”
Trump has started calling all Democrats “communists” after recent victories by Democratic socialist candidates in New York and Colorado, as well as Michigan. Steve Inskeep of NPR asked Khanna if he was concerned that this rhetoric could stick, and harm his party’s chances in midterms and general elections.
Khanna, Khanna’s spokesperson on American politics said that labels don’t usually matter. Khanna cited Trump’s communist label. We’ve called the fascist guy for 10 years, and he has won two terms.
Khanna said that people care more about healthcare, employment, childcare at an affordable price and whether or not a candidate supports them.
Politics
Extremism expert charged in case targeting Southern Poverty Law Center’s use of informants
Former Southern Poverty Law Center official faces federal charges over payments made by the Southern Poverty Law Center to informants that provided information on extremist groups. The Justice Department filed the case.
Her attorney confirmed that Heidi Beirich was charged at federal court in Montgomery Alabama. Todd Blanche, Attorney General of Alabama said in a separate press conference that Beirich was accused “of being part of an effort to open bank account and fictitious company names” and to make payments to individuals that weren’t accurate.
Michael J. Proctor, Beirich’s attorney, said that a free society would not silence political opponents through the use of justice. Heidi Beirich is a woman who has devoted her life to combating hate groups, extremist movements, such as the KKK and neo Nazis. She has fought these ugly and hateful extremists, who have used violence and intimidation to create a more fair, safe, and just America. The threats against her life and the decades of successful dismantling of hate groups speak volumes. “She has been charged with this crime.”
Beirich was the former Chief Financial Officer at the Southern Poverty Law Center. Indictment claims Beirich was “in a romance” with an informant that infiltrated National Alliance, a neo Nazi organization. Beirich received more than $1,2 million in a period of time.
These charges are part of a Justice Department effort to bring the nonprofit accountable for alleged payments made through shell companies without donor knowledge, according to prosecutors.
The Southern Povery Law Center, however, said federal authorities knew about the use of informants by the organization. They also claimed that they mischaracterized this program. And that Trump’s administration was targeting them because of their politics. In the past, the group claimed that the federal government used the information collected by their informants.
The Montgomery-based nonprofit organization for civil rights was established in 1971. Initially, it focused on the enforcement civil rights laws throughout the South. Over time, however the organization has grown. Conservative critics have often attacked the group, claiming it is political biased.
The U.S. district judge Emily Marks refused to dismiss the case brought against the SPLC last week, ruling that the SPLC failed to present objective evidence that it was targeted by the Justice Department because of its First Amendment rights.
Abbe Lowell is an attorney for the SPLC. She said that the Beirich case was “as factually and legally flawed” as previous attacks. It reflected a “desperate government facing a weak case and scrambling to do something, anything, as we near trial.”
Lowell stated that the SPLC “didn’t lie to donors or mislead banks with which it had business, and their informant program saved lives and prevented violence.”
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