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Sir John Curtice: Election results show politics in the UK has fragmented

 

Sir John Curtice says election results show fragmentation in UK politics3 hours agoSir John CurticeProfessor in politics, StrathclydeUniversityBBCThe results of the local elections held overnight have confirmed, at least for the moment, that electoral politics in Britain is highly fragmented. Reformers are definitely the winners. The party has gained the most seats, 30% of those so far declared. In a sample of 500 wards, where the BBC collected detailed voting figures, the BBC found that the party had an average vote of 26%. This is not a high number but it puts them ahead of all their rivals. In wards that voted Leave by more than 60% in 2015, Reform’s support averaged 41%. Live results from English councils. In contrast, Reform has won only 10% of the vote in places where Brexit was less than 49%. The one place where it has gained control of a council, Newcastle-under-Lyme, voted by nearly two-to-one in favour of Brexit.The Greens’ success was more modest. The Greens have received an average of 16% in the wards that have been declared, which is in line with their polling results. This is still a seven-point improvement on the support the party received in the last round of local elections in 2022, and its performance in the local election held shortly before the general election in 2024. The party has gained a net of 25 seats so far. The party has achieved a number second and third places but very few firsts. The drop was especially sharp in areas where the party had previously been strongest and in wards with a high Muslim population. This pattern has magnified the party’s losses of seats, which now stand at 250 or half of those it was trying to defend. The party has lost eight councils. Meanwhile, support for Conservatives has dropped on average by 11 percentage points since 2022. And 9 points since the year 2024. (By this time the party had already lost a lot of its popularity). Support dropped especially where Reform support was strongest, underlining its threat to Kemi’s party. It has lost 137 seats so far, a number that is magnified because it is in places that it was strongest. PAHowever their success was a result of a sharp 17 point fall in Labour support, rather than an indication that the party had made any progress. Its own tally also fell by five points in what is one of the only places where it is still primarily Conservative vs Labour. The Liberal Democrats expected making significant gains. The Liberal Democrats expected to make significant gains, but so far this has not happened. The party won control of Stockport and Portsmouth but lost Hull. The average support for the Party is down three points from both 2022 and 204. It has gained seats in part because it has been able, in places where it was second in the polls, to benefit from the sharp decline in Conservative or Labour support. The party is not showing the same kind of progress as Reform or the Greens. Many key battles are still undecided. What early election results tell us in maps and charts? When is the next UK General Election? What early election results show us in maps and charts? When is the next UK general election?

 

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Suvendu Adhikari Keeps Bhabanipur Seat, Vacates Nandigram After Winning Both

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He defeated TMC supremo Mamata Banerjee by 15,105 votes in her Bhabanipur bastion during the recently concluded Assembly elections.

  

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ChatGPT can reach out to a friend if you’re at risk of self-harm

You can now choose a trusted contact OpenAI will warn.

   

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Chris Mason: Emerging picture shows Reform gains as Labour counts losses in heartland seats

 

The headlines are just a snapshot of the emerging picture. It is important to note that the headlines are only an emerging picture. Reform has been winning about one-third of the seats declared. Labour has lost just under half of their seats that they were trying to defend. They are defending more seats than any other party in this election. The spin operations of both parties are well underway. Labour’s core argument is that mid-term elections can be difficult for governments and are not good predictors of the outcome of the next general election. This is true to some extent, but the governing party did not go backwards on seats in 2011, 2015 or 2017 for example. Labour is going backwards in a big way. How Labour handles these losses psychologically will be crucial over the next few days and hours. It’s another thing to sit in the dentist chair and actually have it done. Take Tameside, Greater Manchester. This is the area of former deputy prime Minister Angela Rayner. That will hurt. Not far away in Wigan, where the local MP is cabinet minister Lisa Nandy, Labour lost all 22 seats it was defending to Reform. This will hurt. Not far away, in Wigan, Labour lost all 22 of the seats it was defending. The local MP, cabinet minister Lisa Nandy is the local Labour MP. The reason for this is that the councils who have completed their counting only had a quarter of their seats available for election. The Liberal Democrats have made small gains, but they can also point to their control of Stockport and Portsmouth Councils. The Conservatives are, as expected, going backwards. They can also point to a victory in Westminster and denying Labour of Wandsworth, even though they haven’t taken it themselves. Turnout is higher than previous local elections. It is currently running at 43%. This is eight points higher than 2022.

 

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Beyond ‘MacBook Ultra’: Here Are the Macs We Expect Apple to Upgrade Next

Memory shortages are unpredictable in the predictions game. Here are the computers that are rumored to get updated this year.

   

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Tough election results hurt but don’t weaken my resolve, says PM

 

The PM said that tough election results hurt, but didn’t weaken his resolve.42 minutes agoKateWhannel,Political reporterandJoshuaNevett,Political reporterPA mediaPrime Minister Sir Keir starmer said that Labour’s “tough”, local election results in England, “hurt”, but insisted that days like this “don’t weaken [his] resolve to deliver the changes that I promised”.The Conservatives also lost ground, while Reform UK enjoyed The Liberal Democrats won Stockport, Portsmouth, but lost control of Hull to Reform. Follow live election results and reactions. Chris Mason: The emerging picture shows Reform gains while Labour counts losses in heartland constituencies. The poor performance of the party in the elections will fuel questions about Sir Keir’s leadership that have been growing since months. Sharon Hoffman, the only Labour councillor left in Hull following Reform’s 10 seat win on the council, said that the national Labour government “had done us a great deal of damage”. “People were saying to us on the door that we were knocking: ‘We really support you. But we cannot support Labour.’ People said they would not vote Keir or anyone who represented Keir. “Speaking to Ealing residents in west London, Sir Keir stated: “The results were tough, very tough and there was no sugar-coating.” “We have lost brilliant Labour members across the country. These are people who gave so much to their communities and our party. “And it hurts and should hurt. I accept responsibility. “Asked whether he would resign, he replied: “I won’t walk away and plunge this country into chaos.” John Healey, the Defence Secretary, said he thought the prime minister “could still turn this around”, while Yvette Cooper, the Foreign Secretary warned against a knee-jerk reaction to the results. Communities Secretary Steve Reed warned against changing leaders as well. He told the BBC that “doomscrolling from prime minister to prime minister doesn’t solve the problem.” Some Labour MPs hope Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham will return to Westminster to challenge Sir Keir in the party leadership. The Reform leader told Havering residents that people are used to thinking of politics as left or right, but his party has been able win in both traditionally Conservative areas and Labour ones. He said that Reform’s success could no longer be seen as a “fluke or protest vote”. When asked how Reform would perform at the local level, he replied: “We know that local council finances are stretched. We are not promising miracles, but we are announcing value for money. “On Sir Keir’s future, he jokingly said: “Personally, I would be very sorry to see the prime Minister go – he’s the greatest asset we have. “Like Labour the Conservatives lost councillors over night, and Reform won former strongholds like Brentwood, Tamworth, and North East Lincolnshire. Reform has won control of Essex County Council, which was previously held by the Conservatives. This area includes the constituencies for several senior Tory politicians, including party leader Kemi Benedot. Badenoch told Westminster that her party was the “only serious alternative to Labour”. She said that “People voted to change and they got a change for the worst with Labour”. She argued that Reform is “talking a good game”, but “people who have experienced Reform don’t enjoy it”. “We are the only ones that do any work. The Liberal Democrats gained control of Stockport, Portsmouth and Hull, but lost the control of Hull Council. Speaking in Portsmouth, Liberal Democrat Leader Sir Ed Davey said Labour, the Conservatives and other “extreme” parties like Reform and the Greens were luring voters. “Their message is destructive – ‘burn it down’ change,” he said. “The Liberal Democrats, on the other hand, offer a different change that is ‘build it up’ change. “Asked if the prime minister should resign, he replied: “I personally believe he hasn’t delivered the changes Labour promised and he shouldn’t be in the way. The Green Party of England and Wales increased their average vote percentage to 18% overnight, up seven points from their 2022 results. Green MP Sian Berry claimed that “disappointment”, was “driving away people from Labour” and her party is “picking up votes”. She said that people were suffering because of cuts to public services, and that the Greens offered “genuine” policies that Labour “simply hadn’t brought in”. What do the results look like in maps and charts? When will we get the full results of the UK election?

 

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