As candidates enter the final week of their campaigning, Birmingham’s local elections have never been more difficult to predict. Birmingham has had a Labour leader in charge for all but 12 years of the last 50. It seems unlikely that one party will be able to win the majority of 51 seats. It is likely that the council will run by a combined administration for the very first time in over a decade. However, the new challengers in local politics would make it look very different to the Conservative/Liberal Democrat coalition which was in power from 2012 until now. Birmingham is the UK’s largest local authority and has been for many years a stronghold. It is the largest local authority in the UK and has long been a stronghold. However, cracks appeared in its dominance at the general elections in 2024 when it lost one its previously safest constituencies, Perry Barr, in favor of an independent. Pro-Gaza candidates were also close in two other Labour held seats. “We are not just councillors trying to ensure the council delivers for the City, but we are also representing communities in the city and what’s important to them; and in some areas of the city, that’s international matters,” he said. It’s hard to rule out the chances of any group. At a Birmingham Live hustings, there were seven speakers or candidates, but it could have been even more. Jane Haynes, a veteran reporter for the site who has covered city politics for decades, said that this election was unlike any other. “That old tradition of doing politics has disappeared, and we are seeing it come alive here in Birmingham. “We are seeing strong campaigns and messages from places that do not normally have a voice in the political system. “One issue dominates the campaigning and that’s the ongoing bin strike. The Unite union began walking out in January 2025, and the strike has lasted for over a year. The ruling Labour party announced that a deal would be reached ten days before the polls. Its rival parties expressed suspicion over the timing, but they all made settling the dispute and resolving the collections a top priority. “We’d seek the correct legal advice from both parties in order to get an end to the bin strike, clean up our streets, get the finances in order and deliver change for Birmingham,” said Jex Parkin, who is standing for Reform, which expects to make a breakthrough.He is, at 24, part of a new generation of would-be politicians.EPA/ShutterstockThe city council says it is no longer effectively bankrupt after declaring itself so in September 2023. The city council’s financial distress has been felt by many, including the closure of youth and community centres, libraries, and service cuts. John Cotton, Labour leader, acknowledged that the city had experienced some difficult years, but said that his party would be the one to move it forward. “Brummies are faced with a choice in this election. It’s a choice between unity and a plan for the future, with a Labour-led Council, or, frankly, risk and division with Reform and so called independents pitting community against community. “The independents present a new challenge to many parts of the City, but there are several groups. Some are former Labour councillors that have left the party. Others campaign on hyper-local topics in particular wards. But one large grouping called the Independent Candidate Alliance has emerged. The group has agreed not to compete against the pro Gaza Workers’ Party because its candidates have similar views. Raihaan Abbas from the ICA is a 22-year-old first time politician who said that independents appealed people tired of politics. “A lot people we’ve talked to on the door don’t want vote anymore, because they feel it’s going be the same failures. “Independents are new, and they trust them more than us from our communities. “Since the local government reorganisation of the early 1970s the Conservatives have been the only other party that has run the city council. The last time they did this, between 2004-2012, the Lib Dems were required to support them. The Tories are the second largest party in the area after Labour, and they want an outright majority. Local Conservatives will be on the ballot this time and Robert Alden, the leader of the party, has admitted that he may have to work with others after the elections. “We would have to see who is actually elected before we could work with others who share our ideals of trying to clean Birmingham, save weekly collection of bins, fix the potholes,” he stated. Other important issues raised on hustings include better regulation of multiple occupancy houses, a crackdown of fly-tipping, and the need to deal with litter and fly-tipping on our streets. Lib Dem leader Roger Harmer has a mantra of “clean up the City, The new challengers are hoping that this will help them to win, but traditional parties could also benefit if they get their core vote on 7th May. The count in Birmingham takes place on 8 May and the outcome will make a difference to the lives of its 1.2 million citizens.Why are the 2026 local elections so important in the West Midlands?SIMPLE GUIDE: What elections are taking place in May?EXPLAINER: What can’t you do at a polling station?LOOKAHEAD: When is the next general election?Follow BBC Birmingham on BBC Sounds, Facebook, X and Instagram.More on this storyFrustration, apathy and hope: Birmingham divided as extraordinary election loomsWhat does a local council do in England?Related internet linksBirmingham City CouncilEngland local elections 2026BirminghamBirmingham City CouncilUK elections 2026