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Atlantic hurricane season forecast to be milder than normal thanks to El Nino

Atlantic hurricane season forecast to be milder than normal thanks to El Nino


The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration on Thursday issued its seasonal outlook for the Atlantic, giving a 55% chance of a below-average season. The agency forecasts eight to 14 named storms, with three to six of them becoming strong enough to hit hurricane status and one to three of those intensifying to major hurricanes.

A normal hurricane season has 14 named storms, seven of them becoming hurricanes and three of them reaching major hurricane level, which is more than 110 mph (177 kph).

Residents walk through Santa Cruz, Jamaica, Oct. 29, 2025, after Hurricane Melissa passed. ( Photo/Matias Delacroix, File)

Residents walk through Santa Cruz, Jamaica, Oct. 29, 2025, after Hurricane Melissa passed. ( Photo/Matias Delacroix, File)

Inflation-adjusted damage across the globe from tropical cyclones has increased from an average of $11.4 billion a year in the 1980s to $109.7 billion a year over the past 10 years, with three-quarters of the damage done in the Atlantic, Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean, according to insurance giant Munich Re.

Hurricanes, typhoons and cyclones are the same weather event, with the different names being used in different parts of the world.

“We should expect a less active year than certainly what we’ve seen recently, and perhs significantly so below average,” said University at Albany atmospheric scientist Kristen Corbosiero. “But again, it only takes one to cause real devastation and destruction in the mainland U.S. or even in Hawaii.”

El Nino decitates Atlantic storms

People bike past damaged homes and debris left by Hurricane Milton, on the sand-coated main road of southern Manasota Key, already cleared of feet of sand, in Englewood, Fla., Oct. 13, 2024. ( Photo/Rebecca Blackwell, File)

People bike past damaged homes and debris left by Hurricane Milton, on the sand-coated main road of southern Manasota Key, already cleared of feet of sand, in Englewood, Fla., Oct. 13, 2024. ( Photo/Rebecca Blackwell, File)

There’s a 98% chance that there will be an El Nino this summer and an 80% chance it will be moderate or strong, NOAA Administrator Neil Jacobs said Thursday.

Atlantic hurricane seasons when an El Nino reaches strong or very strong status have two-thirds the named storms and half the hurricanes of the 1991-2020 average, according to an Associated Press analysis of storm and El Nino statistics.

El Ninos fight Atlantic storm formation in several ways, especially with cross winds about 1 mile to 7 miles (1.5 to 11 kilometers) above the surface “which can basically blow art the thunderstorms that make up” a hurricane, Corbosiero said.

“A stronger than normal wind shear tends to tilt storms as they try to develop,” said University at Albany atmospheric scientist Brian Tang. “It pushes dry air into storms. And prevents storms from developing in the first place. And if they do develop, it also prevents them from intensifying.”

El Nino reduces the number and intensity of weaker storms, but once a storm hits hurricane status with 74 mph winds, “they can be kind of like a self-feeding entity” and are less prone to being dampened by El Nino’s wind shear, said Matthew Rosencrans, lead hurricane season forecaster with NOAA’s National Weather Service.

Forecasts for peak hurricane season show strong wind shear from the west in the main development region for the largest and long-lasting hurricanes that come off of Africa and develop as they head west over the Atlantic, Klotzbach said. Fewer of these type storms hpen during El Ninos.

In the 15 strongest El Nino years since 1950, 37 named storms, 11 hurricanes and three major hurricanes made landfall on the continental United States, but in the 15 coldest La Nina years 61 named storms, 31 hurricanes and 10 major hurricanes hit America’s Gulf and Atlantic coasts, according to Klotzbach. He said El Nino shrinks the number of hits on the Atlantic coast, but has less of an influence on the number of Gulf coast landfalls.

In addition to El Nino, dry conditions in Africa and water in the Atlantic being only slightly warmer than normal contribute to the forecast of a weaker season, Rosencrans said.

Opposite effect in the Pacific

Cars are seen stuck in the mud following Tropical Storm Hilary on a street Aug. 21, 2023, in Cathedral City, Calif. ( Photo/Mark J. Terrill, File)

Cars are seen stuck in the mud following Tropical Storm Hilary on a street Aug. 21, 2023, in Cathedral City, Calif. ( Photo/Mark J. Terrill, File)

NOAA forecasts 15 to 22 named storms in the Pacific with nine to 14 becoming hurricanes and five to nine of those being major hurricanes. Average is 15 named storms, eight hurricanes and four major hurricanes. Rosencrans said the main area of central Pacific storm development shifts closer to Hawaii during El Ninos.

A woman and child crosses a flooded street due to Typhoon Fung-wong and high tide on Nov. 10, 2025, in Navotas, Philippines. ( Photo/Aaron Favila, File)

A woman and child crosses a flooded street due to Typhoon Fung-wong and high tide on Nov. 10, 2025, in Navotas, Philippines. ( Photo/Aaron Favila, File)

Further west toward Asia and India, “your odds of any storm forming becoming a super typhoon go up significantly in El Nino,” Klotzbach said.

The eastern Pacific hurricane season started May 15 and the Atlantic season begins June 1 and both end November 30.

El Ninos can also make hurricane season longer, said John Bravender, a weather service meteorologist in Honolulu. “With the warmer waters across the area, not only can hurricanes maintain their strength at higher latitudes, but also longer through the year,” he said.

___

Associated Press writer Jennifer Sinco Kelleher in Honolulu contributed to this report.

___

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2-time NASCAR champ Kyle Busch dies at 41 after being hospitalized with a severe illness

2-time NASCAR champ Kyle Busch dies at 41 after being hospitalized with a severe illness


CONCORD, N.C. () — Kyle Busch, a two-time Cup Series champion who won more races than anyone across NASCAR’s three national series, has died. He was 41.

The Busch Family, Richard Childress Racing and NASCAR issued a joint statement Thursday saying Busch died after being hospitalized. No cause of death was given.

Busch’s family said earlier Thursday that he was hospitalized with a “severe illness,” three days before he was to compete in the Coca-Cola 600 at Charlotte Motor Speedway.

Busch was the younger brother of Kurt Busch, a NASCAR Hall of Famer.

“Our entire NASCAR family is heartbroken by the loss of Kyle Busch,” the statement said. “A future Hall of Famer, Kyle was a rare talent, one who comes along once in a generation. He was fierce, he was passionate, he was immensely skilled and he cared deeply about the sport and fans.”

The statement went on to say that “throughout a career that spanned more than two decades, Kyle set records in national series wins, won championships at NASCAR’s highest level and fostered the next generation of drivers as an owner in the Truck Series. His sharp wit and competitive spirit sparked a deep emotional connection with race fans of every age, creating the proud and loyal ‘Rowdy Nation.’”

The news comes 11 days after Busch radioed into his crew near the end of a Cup Series race at Watkins Glen asking a doctor to give him a “shot” after he finished the race. According to the TV broadcast, Busch had been struggling with a sinus cold that was exacerbated by the intense G-forces and elevation changes at the New York road course.

Busch finished the race in eighth place.

Busch competed at Dover last weekend and won the Trucks Series race for Richard Childress Racing. He finished 17th at the NASCAR All-Star race.

“Absolute shock. Very hard to process,” veteran NASCAR driver Brad Keselowski posted on social media.

NASCAR driver and former teammate Denny Hamlin posted on social media: “Absolutely cannot comprehend this news. We just need to think of his family during this time. We love you KB.”

A polarizing figure known as “Rowdy” and “Wild Thing” for his post-race fights, regular feuds with other drivers and sometimes outlandish behavior, the multi-talented Busch stormed on the Cup Series scene in 2005 by winning Rookie of the Year.

He went on to win championships in 2015 and 2019 for Joe Gibbs Racing.

From Las Vegas, Busch experienced unrivaled success across NASCAR’s three national series winning a combined 234 Cup, O’Reilly Auto Parts and Trucks Series races. He had 63 Cup victories along with 102 O’Reilly Auto Parts wins and 69 Trucks victories — both records.

Busch was fired early in his career by Hendrick Motorsports to make room on the team for Dale Earnhardt Jr.

“Kyle and I had a really challenging existence for many years,” Earnhardt said in a statement. “But we luckily took the time to figure out our differences and that was something he instigated with a conversation in his bus around how we each managed our racing teams. I was super eager for us to get on better terms. But it was he who made the effort for that to be possible.”

His lack of success led to a recent spat with former JGR teammate Hamlin, who peared to criticize Busch on the Actions Detrimental podcast. Hamlin said, “If you’re expecting Kyle Busch to just go back to Victory Lane on a regular basis, you are kidding yourselves.”

While Hamlin later said he meant no harm by the comments and was just making an observation, Busch took exception and said he could make Hamlin’s life “hell” on the racetrack.

While several ls down at last month’s race at Kansas, Busch made good on the threat and raced Hamlin hard instead of allowing the race leader to pass. That decision held up Hamlin during a crucial stage of the race and Tyler Reddick wound up winning the race after Hamlin faded late.

After winning the Trucks race at Dover last week and showing an uptick in speed, Busch seemed to make a veiled jab at Hamlin, saying “I guess I just remembered how to drive.”

After earning his win at Dover, Busch was asked how many races he wants to win in his career before he stops racing.

“You take whatever you can get, man,” Busch said. “You never know when the last one is going to be, so cherish them all — trust me.”

The announcement of Busch’s death came after IndyCar teams had already left Gasoline Alley on media day at the Indianolis 500. As word spread on Main Street in Speedway, Indiana, just a short walk from Indianolis Motor Speedway, race fans — IndyCar and NASCAR — were saddened.

NASCAR officials confirmed to The Associated Press the Coca-Cola 600 will go on as planned Sunday.

Busch is survived by wife Samantha and children Brexton and Lennix.

___ Sports Writer Michael Marot in Indianolis contributed to this report. ___

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Service 1st names Joy Ziminskas national sales director for the southeast region

HAMMONTON, N.J., May 21, 2026 (SEND2PRESS NEWSWIRE) — Service First Information Solutions, LLC (Service 1st), a leading provider of credit reporting and verification solutions for the mortgage industry, announced today the addition of Joy Ziminskas as national sales director for the Southeast region to lead revenue growth and expand relationships with lenders, banks and financial institutions across Texas, Florida and surrounding markets.

Service 1st National Sales Director for SE region Joy Ziminskas
Image ction: Service 1st National Sales Director for SE region Joy Ziminskas.

Ziminskas brings more than two decades of experience spanning mortgage lending, sales leadership and SaaS innovation. Prior to joining Service 1st, Ziminskas served as director of sales, marketing and business development at Calyx Software, where she helped drive significant growth across multiple SaaS platforms, secured enterprise-level partnerships and led cross-functional teams. Her background also includes a successful career in mortgage lending, where she was a consistent top producer and recognized among Dallas’ Best Mortgage Professionals by D Magazine and Texas Monthly.

In her new role, Ziminskas will focus on increasing brand awareness, strengthening client relationships and positioning Service 1st as a trusted partner for credit and verification solutions in an evolving lending landsce.

I’ve always believed that sales is about solving problems and building trust, said Ziminskas. Service 1st has a strong reputation for delivering high-quality solutions, and I’m excited to help expand that impact by bringing our products to more lenders and helping them operate more efficiently and better serve their customers.

Joy brings a unique combination of mortgage expertise, sales leadership and strategic thinking that aligns perfectly with our mission to deliver best-in-class credit and verification solutions, said Curtis Knuth, CEO of Service 1st. Her ability to connect with clients, understand their challenges and deliver meaningful solutions will be instrumental as we continue to grow and strengthen our presence nationwide.

ABOUT SERVICE FIRST INFORMATION SOLUTIONS, LLC:

Service First Information Solutions, LLC (Service 1st) delivers integrated, technology-driven verification tools designed to help mortgage lenders streamline workflows, reduce friction in the loan process and support faster, more informed lending decisions. Service 1st is affiliated with National Credit-reporting System, Inc. (NCS), a long-standing provider of credit information and verification services. To learn more, visit or call 866-606-5952.

X: @S1NCSTRV #MortgageTechnology #LoanProcessing #VerificationSolutions

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Republicans expected to abandon $1B security proposal for White House and Trumps ballroom

Republicans expected to abandon $1B security proposal for White House and Trumps ballroom


Senate Majority Leader John Thune, R-S.D., acknowledged “ongoing vote issues” on Wednesday as leaders tried to measure Republican support and figure out what will be allowed in the bill under the chamber’s rules.

Sen. John Kennedy, R-La., told reporters Wednesday that the bill was “back to square one” without the security money because “the votes are not there.”

Republican senators were set to meet with acting Attorney General Todd Blanche on Thursday as they finalized the text and decided whether to put parameters on the settlement, which was designed to compensate Trump’s allies who believe they have been politically persecuted. Thune told reporters that senators have questions about the fund and want to know “how we might make sure that it’s fenced in propriately.”

Possible parameters on Trump’s settlement fund

Presenting a united front, Democrats from both the House and Senate rallied on the Citol steps Thursday to show their opposition. Senate Democratic leader Chuck Schumer of New York said the amendment process “will give Republicans countless chances to do the right thing.”

He added that if they declined to make changes, it would show voters that “Ballroom Republicans are not working for you, they are busy fighting for Trump.”

Those amendments, along with others, could pass as a growing number of Republicans have voiced reservations about the fund. So Republicans are now discussing their own last-minute additions to head that off, potentially placing some parameters on the settlement and who could receive compensation, according to two people with knowledge of the private discussions who requested anonymity to discuss them.

It was unclear how any Senate changes would be received in the House. House Speaker Mike Johnson, R-La., said Wednesday that the House will pass the bill “whatever form it takes.”

Tensions rise between Senate and White House

As Republicans challenged the settlement and parts of his agenda, Trump unloaded on the Senate in a social media post on Wednesday.

Republicans need to “get smart and tough,” Trump said, or “you’ll all be looking for a job much sooner than you thought possible!”

While they have been loyal to Trump on most issues, Senate Republicans have resisted his repeated calls — even in his first term — to kill the filibuster, which triggers a 60-vote threshold in the Senate.

Hanging over the growing GOP rift is Trump’s surprise endorsement of Paxton. That intervention has Republican senators privately fuming that it could cost them their majority in November as they view the incumbent, Cornyn, as the better candidate in the November general election.

Secret Service request falters

Sen. Thom Tillis, R-N.C., said the effort to add the security package to the bill was a “bad idea.” The bill should not have included the other security improvements, he said, “because it’s just giving everybody the ‘billion-dollar ballroom.’”

Several other Republicans in the House and Senate have questioned the request, and senators left a briefing with the director of the Secret Service last week saying they needed a lot more information.

Still, passage requires sign-off from the parliamentarian and unity from Republicans.

___

Associated Press writers Lisa Mascaro and Joey Cpelletti contributed to this report.

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The Mortgage Collaborative partners with TheZebra.com to deliver a seamless home insurance shopping experience for borrowers

TMC - The Mortgage Collaborative
Image ction: TMC – The Mortgage Collaborative.

Under the agreement, lender members can refer borrowers to The Zebra’s platform to compare quotes from more than 110 carriers and purchase coverage before closing. Lenders receive compensation per qualified referral for actions borrowers are already completing as part of the homebuying process. The Zebra reports some borrowers have saved more than $150 a month on home insurance through its platform.

Finding and securing the right homeowners insurance adds a layer of complexity in an already complex homebuying process, said Jodi Hall, president and CEO of The Mortgage Collaborative. Partnering with The Zebra gives our lender members a meaningful way to support their borrowers through that moment with a trusted, transparent platform that makes it easier to compare options and move forward with confidence.

TMC has built a fantastic community of lenders and vendors solely focused on creating better outcomes for borrowers as they navigate one of the largest financial decisions of their lives, said Fritz Merizon, strategic partnerships manager at The Zebra. Partnering with them is a natural fit, and we’re excited to help lenders give borrowers peace of mind knowing their investment is well protected with the right coverage at the right price.

Once a borrower is under contract, the process begins with a few questions about their needs and budget. They can then compare quotes across carriers or consult a licensed agent before selecting coverage. The Zebra delivers the declarations page directly and monitors for additional savings opportunities after purchase.

About The Mortgage Collaborative

About The Zebra

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Asian shares surge after oil prices slip and Wall Street resumes its AI rally

Asian shares surge after oil prices slip and Wall Street resumes its AI rally


The Kospi has been breaching records, recently exceeding 8,000 for the first time.

Taiwan’s Taiex, also heavily weighted toward technology shares, gained 3.9% as major chipmaker TSMC’s stock gained 3%.

Chinese markets were virtually unchanged, with Hong Kong’s Hang Seng flat at 25,648.28, while the Shanghai Composite index also was nearly flat at 4,162.37.

Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 picked up 1.6% to 8,628.80.

Oil prices were higher early Thursday, a day after Brent crude dropped 5%. Brent, the international standard, gained 95 cents to $105.87 per barrel, while U.S. benchmark crude added 92 cents to $99.18 per barrel.

Brent remains well above its roughly $70 level from before the war with Iran. Prices have been yo-yoing on rising and falling hopes that the United States and Iran can reach an agreement to allow oil deliveries to fully resume from the Persian Gulf to customers worldwide.

Stocks got a lift from easing yields in the bond market, as the yield on the 10-year Treasury fell to 4.57% from 4.67% late Tuesday. That’s a significant move for a market that measures things in hundredths of a percentage point.

The 10-year Treasury yield had been rising from less than 4% before the war with Iran began, along with other government bond yields around the world, because of worries that the fighting will keep oil prices high, among other factors. Inflation concerns reduce the chances the Federal Reserve will cut rates this year and raise risks that that world central banks may have to raise rates in 2026.

With the easing of yields, technology stocks helped lead Wall Street higher.

Tech stocks leading the market included Advanced Micro Devices, up 8.1%, and Intel, up 7.4%.

Smaller companies can feel even bigger relief from lower yields than their bigger rivals because many need to borrow to grow. The Russell 2000 index of the smallest U.S. stocks jumped 2.6%, more than double the gain of the S&P 500, which measures the biggest U.S. stocks.

In other dealings early Thursday, the U.S. dollar rose to 158.98 Janese yen from 158.92 yen. The euro was steady at $1.1624.

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