China has weathered Trump’s Tariffs but the Iran War is taking its toll7 hoursLaura BickerChina Correspondent, Foshan and GuangzhouIt is a sombre gathering on the backstreets of China’s largest manufacturing hub, where workers smoke under a tree, in front of storefronts that advertise temporary factory jobs. “No one understands our life,” says a man who refused to be identified. “We work and we work, but have no life.” Please help us,” says another – a rare and risky plea made to a foreign reporter. They seem desperate, struggling with the massive shifts that have occurred in Chinese manufacturing from cheap, mass produced goods to automated advanced technology. It was resilient, however, and reported a GDP growth of around 5 percent. But the discontent remained. The Middle East conflict has taken a new toll on factory orders, costs, and jobs. In Foshan, a southern industrial province in Guangdong in China, the best opportunity for workers is displayed in bright red letters in front of them. A few weeks of molding plastic or screwing parts of a phone together, for 18-20 yuan per hour, which is just a few pounds or dollars. Another worker from a rural area says, “I will try to find work elsewhere.” Costfoto / NurPhoto via Getty ImagesChina has been insulated from the worst of the fuel crisis by its enviable oil reserve and the leadership it has taken on renewables and electric vehicles. The war is choking a vital shipping route in the Strait of Hormuz and this is causing further pain to the sluggish Chinese economic system that heavily relies on exports. The cost of fabrics has increased by around 20%, says a trader who did not want to be identified. Workers are moving cylinders of fabric to carts that will be taken to local factories where they will be cut and sewn to clothes for world retailers such as Zara, Shein, and Temu. This is the largest fabric market in the world, located an hour from Foshan. Motorbikes are laden with vibrant textiles as trucks and vans honk through the streets to pick up or drop off Each shop owner and seller has a similar story. Their trade depends on a steady and cheap supply of oil, in the form petrochemicals. The higher oil prices have now hit them hard. One trader, over tea in the back room of a trading office, says that it means fewer orders. He says that some customers refuse to pay more, and rolls of fabrics are piling up at the warehouse. If they don’t pass on the rising cost to the customer they absorb it themselves. It’s hard for those already working on slim margins. A year ago, during the US-China trade war, Guangzhou was a city of defiance. This time there is resignation. But there are still opportunities in the uncertainty. A short drive away, manufacturers welcome buyers from around the globe in the cavernous Halls of the Canton Fair. Humanoid robotics sing and wave as international visitors take selfies. This is the China that Beijing wants the world to see. There are long queues for AI glasses that can translate foreign languages, and robotic legs that help climb mountains. The price of these everyday gadgets is increasing, according to traders. This is because they are made from plastic, which is a product that uses oil in the manufacturing process. They are made from plastic, which is oil-based. But buyers are still coming because businesses are ploughing forward to serve the market. The Chinese Passenger Car Association reports that 350,000 EVs were exported in March alone, a 30% increase from February and a 140% increase from March last year. EVs are also one of China’s biggest exports to the Middle East. But now trader Joyce Liu is finding it difficult to get shipments to customers. Some of the cars still await at Chinese ports. “She is at the fair in order to find new buyers, whether from Africa, South America or Turkey, but many of the EV stands have people from India, Bangladesh, and Turkey. In some countries, waiting lists for Chinese electric vehicles have increased as petrol and diesel prices rise. But there is also a delegation from Oman inspecting the cars in bright spotlights with an advertisement written both in English and Arabic. They have decided to make a deal with the trader and are haggling. “We are here to cooperate with Chinese companies.” Zahir Mohammed Zahir Al-Kaabi says, “It’s hard now, but Inshallah (God willing) the war will end and business will be great.” That is also what Beijing wants. Ironically, China wanted to see a declining US. Is this the America China wanted? It would prefer an America that was more predictable and easier to manage for Beijing. She adds that “a balance is needed because Beijing does not want to irritate Trump”. She believes that the May summit will temper China’s reaction to the war. Beijing wants to do everything it can to ensure that meeting. “China is calling from the sidelines for a ceasefire while pushing its Iranian friend towards the negotiation table. Trump also seems to want this. Xi has also been meeting and making phone calls with the Crown Princes of the UAE and Saudi Arabia. This is China flexing their diplomatic muscles, says William Figueroa of the University of Groningen. “It’s a way for China to show the United States and partners in the region how serious it is about its commitments. This has a global reach.” “It reminds us that China is not just the center of the global economic system. It is increasingly at a centre of global power. But this means little to workers in Foshan who are frustrated with stagnant wages. One of them shows her pass from the Canton Fair. He laughs as he puffs on his cigarette. “I cleaned the bathrooms,” he says. What is the plan? China’s ambitions are being upset by the Iran war. Will it work? China’s defiant attitude to Trump’s America ChinaIran WarChina-US RelationsChina Economy